Wednesday, July 25, 2007

Regarding last post

Apparently, I just realized that the velocity potential/upper divergence/MJO map I posted was from July 2006. Weird, but it's only my fault that I did not take a closer look at the datestamp discrepency.

The correct map is here:

The enhacement areas are leaving the Atlantic basin right now at an initial glance, but a new burst as appeared in the eastern Pacific. Given current satellite trends, I suspect that will intensify and move eastward. When that is leaving (maybe in about a 4 days to a week), we could see some marginal quick development. But since the Azores High is in its strongest state right now, and due to strong shearing winds in the GOM, I don't foresee any major development.

Phew! What a flip-flop.

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